Next Console Cycle Could Arrive In 2019, Says Pachter
On the latest round of Pachter Factor, which you can catch on SIFTD.net, video game analyst Michael Pachter was asked to tackle the topic of when gamers can expect the next round of video game consoles, which he predicted could arrive as early as 2019.
Pachter was asked by a SIFTD user:
"Given that the current-gen systems often struggle to run games at a steady 30 frames per second at 1080p and the rise of 4K televisions and stuff like VR, do you see this generation of consoles lasting as long as the PS3/Xbox 360 generation (7-8 years)."
Here's what he had say:
"I would be surprised if we had a next-gen console in 2018; we might have one in 2019, so I think 6 years is likely. We will have one by 2020, so I think seven years is a lock. So, lasting as long, probably not, but lasting longer than five years, probably so."
He explained his answer by stating that because the price of 4K televisions are going down, it's likely that by 2018, most people in the market for a new TV will pick up one that's 4K. Which prompted him to add:
"So, once everybody has a 4K T.V. I think that's when you get a console cycle where you actually make things that are in 4K."
He pointed out that just this past Black Friday, in fact, the Samsung 55" 1080p television was $699 while the 4K was not that far behind it at $799.
Think the next round of consoles from Sony & Microsoft are just three years away? Sound off in the comments below!